By admin | December 18, 2008 - 5:40 am - Posted in Articles

Recession word itself enough to create a panic in the stomach of the whole world. If someone gets up and checks the empirical meaning of recession in the good lexicon, he or she will feel something disgusting about it; fear factor will dance in front of him or her. It looks like coming to hell just after knocking the door of the zenith.

At this juncture world is confronting the same fearful word “Recession” in empirical way. The world had good news that U.S. GDP (Gross Domestic Product) has grown 3.3% annually in second quarter of year 2008 but it was just like an oasis and faded away when US government has given whopping jobless claims 444,000 on last Thursday. Rising inflation, housing slowdown, 16 year low housing prices, diminishing industrial growth, Federal Reserve policy on interest rate all are rubbing salt on the wounds. Now US government is pondering over the Fannie and Freddie financials and set to take over the housing mortgage giants.

It is not only United States of America but whole world starting from African countries to European countries, which covers Asia too. Markets from New Zealand to India suffered a sell-off Friday, September 5, 2008, with as many as five benchmark indices set 52-week lows, as investors dumped stocks on concerns about weakening growth prospects and uncertainty over the global economy.

Socio-political issues has created unusual troubles in South Africa, which is known as the most prosperous country in the African continent and precious metal mining hub across the globe, had reeled on august 6, 2008, when rand has fallen 1.90% against the USD due to trade union nationwide strike to protest against the food and electricity prices. State military of Nigeria said, “Blast was not an accident but deliberate sabotage by a group protesting the alleged nonpayment of fees by the energy company to the local population.” Nigeria social turmoil is on acme and any time untoward happening may occur that can fuel, for the time being subsidized, crude oil prices. Zimbabwe political instability continues to romp over the constructive activities in the region. The inflation in Zimbabwe jumped to over 11,250,000% in June. Rebels in Kenya are also contributing enough in poorly shaped African economic condition.

Now look at Asian economies, first comes China where everyone was thinking that after the Olympics china will resume the economic work on growth agenda and the demand for the commodities like copper, aluminum and steel will rise but it was a distant dream all base metals are setting new lows on commodity exchanges. China also eyeing on currency markets and all set to devalue the Yuan against its rival currencies in order to enhance the export growth which has become less lucrative for the exporters. World Bank has trimmed China’s growth rate to 9.60% from earlier 10.80% for the current fiscal. China needs to generate more than a million jobs every year and it is very difficult without double digit growth rate on the cards.

Japan, The land of rising sun, is also undergoing through tremendous inflationary pressure which was previously known for deflation. Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda resigned after less than a year in office. His government failed to rein in inflation. The rise in inflation has been a trauma for a country that has spent the last decade grappling with deflation. Core consumer prices were up 2.4% in July 2008 from a year earlier, a panic bounce since 1997, and many Japanese have clamped down on spending. Japanese finance ministry has already given cowardice statement over the current year GDP growth rate. Experts say Japan has already slipped into recession and no one is predicting growth above 1% this year.

HengSeng, the Hong Kong stock index, has broken the 20,000 level. South Korea is under the scan of developed world where nuclear energy matters continues to harass the top officials of the nation. Korean Stock index is also not showing any glimpse of breaking upper records.

India’s economy grew at its lowest rate in the first quarter of financial year 2008-09 since last three years. The Reserve Bank of India is all set to rein into record high inflation by applying tight credit policy which remained above 12% level for the past few weeks. Annual growth slowed to 7.90 % in the first quarter of 2008-09 which ended on June 30, significantly lower than the 8.80 % rate reported for the January – March quarter.

Europe also nowhere different at present whole Europe is combating with rising inflation and fresh downward revisions in the growth rate. European inflation accelerated to the fastest pace in almost 16 years to a record high 4% earlier before arriving at 3.8%. Consumer business confidence index is also recorded significant decline and Economic confidence fell in August to 88.80. Brussels has revised the Euro zone growth rate downwards to1.80% from earlier November estimate 2.20%. Economic experts offering a faded hope and a few of them declared that next revision would be 1.30%.

Now the world is witnessing a global slowdown which can be said recession but optimistic experts say it is temporary and can be worked out with revamped financial policies. But at this juncture when the status quo is not allowing the central banks to act any way, one side inflation is rising which is not encouraging the central banks for rate cut and other side slowing economic growth is not supporting the rate hike. Hence forth in the last week Bank of England and European Central Bank kept their interest rates undisturbed, 5% and 4.25% respectively. United States Federal Reserve also kept its rate unchanged in last meeting.

Then utmost what can happen?

I think US credit market turmoil and high inflation is nowhere supportive in economic way for the world. Russia- Georgia tension, US-Iran-Israel issue and destructive happenings like terrorist attacks, natural calamities and political turmoil all over world is not foreboding good for the world.

The stock markets, commodity markets and financial instruments are heading towards south and not left even an iota of positive happening. Dow Jones, Nasdaq, FTSE, BSE, CAC, KOSPI, HengSeng, Nikkei, Shanghai all these stock exchanges shed their most of last year gains. Simultaneously commodity markets also near to nadir gold, the safe heaven commodity, has fallen more than $200 US after reaching $988US earlier this year. Silver is already near to set a new of the year. Likewise copper, platinum and aluminum are also fallen to lower extreme. Euro, USD, GBP, and Japanese Yen are behaving in the strange way and creating turmoil in the fundamentals of other financial instruments and markets. At present market elements are fighting for the worst rank. If the currency exchange rates changes more than 10% within a week,

The Raison d’ĂȘtre behind whole scenario of financial instability is that, fundamentals have not been respected during last year across the world. Investors have lost confidence over the period of wrong happenings that led to unsystematic investment in the financial markets. As far US, the world largest economy is concern until presidential election (new President) glimpse of hope is far away since it requires a major policy change. If same situation prevails shortly world may face biggest foul turnaround.

The whole world need to get together and must make necessary changes in the economical and political policies in order to overcome from this current imbroglio. The fundamentals of the market i.e. Demand and Supply has to be restored. People must realize the real money. G-7 meeting proposals have to be implemented in order to soothe the boiling intricacy of the world.

What can an investor do?

A good investor must workout different strategy for the investment. Meantime investors can stay away from the paper stocks and they can invest in the real asset value market viz. real estate, and commodities which runs on fundamentals rather than speculations. This is the best time to invest in housing because the prices are at possible lowest end. Markets with real assets value will perform better than paper assets in coming year.

Contact author at http://www.safetradeadvisors.com or safetradeadvisors@gmail.com

By admin | December 17, 2008 - 5:03 pm - Posted in Articles

I’m going to help you make money currency trading with my most profitable advice I try to apply on a daily basis. This is a perfect opportunity for all those people out there looking to develop a second income from the comfort of their own home.

My first piece of advice is to watch the news. The most important news to watch would be the morning news because all the important economic news comes out at scheduled times in the morning. This news is very important because economic stability of a country determines the quality of the price of currency. If the quality of the economy goes down, the price of the currency will go down internationally. This is just the way it goes. The last thing you want to do is make a trade and in the middle of it, the Federal Reserve releases some information and your “good trade” turns into a big loss because you missed the news. You want to pay attention to any news relating to the economy and how well it is doing. This includes GDP, unemployment rates, central bank interest rates, consumer spending, etc. Typically if these numbers are good, than it is good for the currency. If they’re bad, they’re bad for the currency.

The next thing I want to discuss is not what you trade, but when you trade. There are basically two different times you can trade, high volume and low volume. I recommend starting in the high volume time because this is when everyone else is trading. This leads to a more predictable outcome since you can be sure market forces are in control. If you look at low volume times, a large bank could make a big trade which could drastically change the direction of a currency. At this time you would be at the mercy of a bank.

Lastly, you’ll want to get Forex Killer for your computer, so you can better handle trades and become more profitable. This software will seek out and find the most profitable trends out there, so you can profit from them.

The automated software of Forex Killer will give you an immediate edge in the market. Make trades that work for your profit line. For more information on the Forex Killer software, check out Forex Charting Software.

By admin | July 1, 2008 - 11:13 am - Posted in Learning

The word Forex stands for foreign exchange. Forex trade deals with pair of currencies. Unlike other markets, forex trade is the largest and provides high potential for investors and retail traders. A Forex course can reveal the systematic approach on Forex trade, its intricacies, its patterns etc.

Forex Course
A course on forex trade helps the individual investors understand the market and perform well in making money. The course includes systematic analysis of the data pertaining to the trade in the past and the vital indicators in the area of GDP, production etc, pertaining to the country. This technical and fundamental analysis gives the investor a fair sight about the market, depending on which, strategies can be formed for making money out of the market. As a part of the course, the trader is exposed to online forex trading, which gives tremendous confidence to the retailer.

Online Forex Trading
Normally, Forex trading by retail traders is accomplished through brokers. The brokers help in purchase and sale of the currencies as per the request. With the advent of modern communication equipments and computer peripherals today one can enter the market from the comfort of his home. This is made possible due to developments internet technology. Forex trade is a 24 hour market, with one country or the other in the world participating at some time of the day or night. The online market is a spot market in the sense it settles instantly. Us dollar (USD), European Euro(Euro), Japanese Yen (JPY), Swiss Franc (CHF),UK Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD) and Australian Dollar (AUS) are the frequently traded currencies in online forex trading.

In every transaction two currencies are involved, one is bought and the other is sold. There are many online forex websites, which should be understood before actually doing online trading. Unlike conventional trading, online trading does not require the help of brokers. What a broker would be doing otherwise by receiving and placing/executing the orders, the system will do in online Forex trading. At the click of the mouse, the transaction is completed/executed. The online trading system is very fast and reliable.

Cross Currency
Cross currency is a currency pair in which the two currencies are not USD. In other words, the two currencies are currencies other than USD. The cross currency is more liable for fluctuation because actually in cross currency transactions, the purchase currency and the selling currency are converted in to USD first and then the trade is completed. So, knowledge about cross currency transactions will help find out the difference between that and a regular pair change. Similarly, one should be aware of the base currency (the first currency in a currency pair), which helps take vital decisions.

Online Forex trading is a relatively new opportunity that can be the ideal business for some people. It is a business that is providing a lifestyle of freedom and personal fulfillment for many people throughout the world.

About the Author:

Sanjay Rane is a professional journalist and writer of many topics. More information can be obtained from Online Forex Trading , Forex Course , Cross Currency.

By admin | October 22, 2007 - 9:26 am - Posted in Articles

This is my official beginners guide to forex trading to help all those people that are new to this market become great achievers. This can be a very intimidating and complex business for those that are new, but it really isn’t all that complicated. If you don’t build it up as this big thing, you can do very well on a simple philosophy.


  • What’s The News Say?: Are you about to make a trade? Have you gotten any information from your free consultant television? The news is a large ground of information that are very important to forex traders. It’s not like currency does it’s own thing, everyday on the market place. The very news we watch everyday on television has an effect. What should you be looking for? Well, you need to identify the economic news. Topping the economic news would be the Central Banks of countries. Any time they announce interest changes, the value of currency will change. Other important news would be on economic growth, GDP, employment rates, etc. The next thing to watch would be the “emotional” news. People are emotional and the market will reflect that. Acts of terrorism, especially in places with commodities, will shack up the markets. Check out the news before you start making trades. It’s a free tool to take advantage of.

  • Lose Smartly, Not Stupidly: Everyone from the richest forex trader to the poorest forex trader have bad trades that result in losses. It’s just away of life in this business. The different between the richest and poorest forex traders is how they DEAL with it. I noticed aspects of the “gambler” come out in people with this business. You buy in and you’re down. You say to yourself “I’ll hold onto it, it’ll go back up”. It goes down further, “I’m going to hold onto it, hopefully I can make back a little of my loss”. It goes down further. As you can tell this is a cycle. You do not want to get in that. There is a point where you need to declare you’re out. An objective point. The best time to decide this is before you trade or a few seconds after you trade, than you don’t have to worry about it while you’re in the moment.

  • Automated Software: Automated software like Forex Killer is a needed tool for this business. You wouldn’t expect to see a carpenter without their hammer, so don’t be a trader with your software. You can’t be in front of the computer all the time and Forex Killer can be set up to end trades for you. It can sell when it hits a specific profit margin, or it can sell to protect you from losing too much.

For more information on the Forex Killer software, check out Forex Charting Software.